Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.086017 0.099365 0.114097 0.131562 0.151706 0.174217 0.201292
2026-01-11 0.065577 0.083668 0.105676 0.134424 0.171013 0.216063 0.275821
2026-01-18 0.053831 0.073640 0.099439 0.135518 0.184719 0.249568 0.341716
2026-01-25 0.044970 0.065110 0.092841 0.133832 0.192971 0.275361 0.399194
2026-02-01 0.037655 0.057262 0.085587 0.129517 0.196059 0.293319 0.446782
2026-02-08 0.033617 0.053416 0.083275 0.131618 0.208108 0.324815 0.517157
2026-02-15 0.029996 0.049610 0.080375 0.132175 0.217464 0.352797 0.584884
2026-02-22 0.027240 0.046755 0.078492 0.133908 0.228572 0.384331 0.661465
2026-03-01 0.024098 0.042819 0.074315 0.131207 0.231798 0.403016 0.718326
2026-03-08 0.021536 0.039537 0.070804 0.129120 0.235629 0.422810 0.778899
2026-03-15 0.019849 0.037586 0.069344 0.130404 0.245416 0.453771 0.862561
2026-03-22 0.019026 0.037111 0.070441 0.136411 0.264385 0.503042 0.985298
2026-03-29 0.017905 0.035968 0.070232 0.140040 0.279491 0.547172 1.104209
2026-04-05 0.016807 0.034744 0.069737 0.143065 0.293789 0.591356 1.228558
2026-04-12 0.015619 0.033191 0.068407 0.144229 0.304414 0.629324 1.344492
2026-04-19 0.014261 0.031122 0.065799 0.142435 0.308678 0.654774 1.437056
2026-04-26 0.012795 0.028647 0.062077 0.137842 0.306446 0.666397 1.501118
2026-05-03 0.012080 0.027729 0.061544 0.140078 0.319240 0.711192 1.643058
2026-05-10 0.011296 0.026563 0.060340 0.140671 0.328396 0.748932 1.773217
2026-05-17 0.010678 0.025706 0.059724 0.142516 0.340569 0.794574 1.926660
2026-05-24 0.009782 0.024090 0.057210 0.139641 0.341362 0.814233 2.020593
2026-05-31 0.009015 0.022699 0.055070 0.137419 0.343453 0.837088 2.124786
2026-06-07 0.008538 0.021972 0.054430 0.138786 0.354467 0.882367 2.289799